Supercell

It is as if Sauron from The Lord Of The Rings is sending his black clouds over the country and we are looking at the last ray of sun before the darkness of the Dark Lord overtakes our lands.

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That is the current situation here in Belgium. I do not usually blog right from ‘in the action’, but this dramatic weather had to be shared with you.

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These are views to the west over the roofs of Kontich, a little village between Antwerp and Brussels. To the east, there is pitch black skies with stroboscopic lightning, so I seem to be right in the middle of it!

And again, 2016 delivers with some more crazy weather.

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The modern botanist

For what it’s worth: I tried out this new fancy smartphone app called Pl@ntNet, and as a plant ecologist, I can happily give it my seal of approval. Everybody who has only the most remote interested in plants, stay tuned for the future of plant identification:

Pl@ntNet is a fascinating example of a big step forward towards what I think will be the norm in a very near future. In short, this application helps you identifying plant species based on a quick picture.

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It is that easy! You see a plant, take a picture and the app gives you – if all goes as hoped – the name of the plant you are looking at. In my opinion, that’s just brilliant.

I have to admit I was a tiny bit sceptical at first. The concept might be pure genius, but I was not so sure they could make it work that easily.I have  had some frustrating experiences with Google Image search, and I also know how many lookalikes a plant species can have. Yet it turns out that when the concept is well organised and the database is large enough, it can be very effective.

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Acer campestre, with its very distinct leaves, is an easy one for the app to recognise.

Let me get this straight: there is no magic involved. The app recognises shape and colour of leaves, flowers and stems and matches it with the shape and colour of what it has in its database. But it managed to deliver almost a 90 % success ratio on the common Western European forest and weed species I tried it on (update after some more difficult species: success ratio stabilised at 80 %). One picture is often enough, although the accuracy is greatly improved if you add both a picture of a flower and a leave (or a stem or fruit).

Two other easy successes: Geranium robertianum (left) and Potentilla indica

But – and this might be the biggest drawback – this 90 % accuracy does not mean that the app returns you the name of the species just like that in 90 % of the case. It means that the app gives you a list of species of which it thinks that the features match with those in your picture, and in 90 % of the cases, the one you are looking for is somewhere in that list. So a bit of knowledge of which species it could be might still be necessary, although it is possible to browse through the extensive list of pictures associated to each species to decide which one it is.

Other things I found out during my first days of using Pl@ntNet:

  • the app is currently most useful in Western Europe, where it promises to recognise more than 6000 plant species with the help of almost 250 thousand pictures.
  • shape and colour are handled perfectly fine, but size might be an issue. The app does not know for sure if it is looking at a 1 meter diameter leave of the butterbur (Petasites hybridus), or the 20 centimeter variant of its smaller nephew the coltsfoot (Tussilago farfare).
  • a big advantage is that you can specify the family or genus to which you think the species belongs. If you have a bit of prior knowledge of where your identification is heading, you can definitely get a lot out of this app.
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Butterbur and not coltsfoot, but how to tell the app that much?

 

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… and now we wait

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Not as peacefully as my two little friends, (they are lucky to not have any worries on their hand), but waiting it is anyway.

It is that fase in the project again, when the paper is submitted! And this time, it might be a big one. There is nothing we can do anymore now, except wait, and be patient. But there is lots I can learn from my gerbil friends on that matter, I fear, because I am clearly not as good with waiting as they are.

Let me just hope for some good news on this paper soon!

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The snails are out!

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Belgium is experiencing some hot and humid, almost tropical weather the last days/weeks. Perfect weather to find snails, I found out (and even better weather to meet up with mosquitos, I learned the hard way).

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Great weather for plants to grow as well. But not so great weather to have a drought experiment to give plants some stress, as I had last year. I feel lucky I had a successful experiment last summer, as trying the same this year would be fairly pointless. With this weather it is virtually impossible to get the soil sufficiently dry to measure the differences I am looking for in the plants.

Snails - 2Last year, I was lucky with a dry hot summer with just the occasional thunderstorm, so patterns were as clear as they could be. But let that be a lesson for field ecologists: you will have to deal with the weather out there. Sometimes it is not what you would expect, and more often than not it differs from the average, and that can easily obscure the patterns.

That is exactly the reason why we always aim to measure the relevant variables in the field, so that whatever happens out there, we can link our results to the real events.

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Novel

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I was currently exploring a new train of thoughts, slightly different from my usual subject: novel ecosystems.

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What is a novel ecosystem, you might ask? Well, it is an ecosystem that is disturbed (by humans) and where new species – or a previously unseen combination of species – start to grow.

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Many pieces of semi-nature we have in our disturbed Belgian landscape fit within this definition: they don’t have a natural equivalent and only exists because of human presence. They host a set of species that is adapted to this (often reoccurring) disturbance, whatever it is (road creation, pollution, acid rain, agricultural practices) and that are not likely to be found together in a natural ecosystem.

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I said it was a new train of thought, but that is not entirely true. I have been playing with this idea for a while now, as these novel ecosystems have fascinated me for as long as I have been in science. It is exciting to see which species manage to thrive there, and that it is often species that come from the furthest that like it there the most.

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There is a large variety in these novel ecosystems, though. I showed pictures in this post of one that has a very low diversity of plant species, but many others can be found to be highly diverse. We would love to find out the reasons behind these differences, and to predict which species will be able to grow where.

It is not a new concept, and it might be just a different way of looking at things we already know, but it is a concept that allows us to measure how big the human impact actually is, and in that it is very helpful.

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Conferencing

It took them a bit longer than anticipated because of the tough decisions they had to make (3 times as many applicants as time slots), but I finally got the good news that I am welcome to present my research at the Neobiota-conference (on “new life forms” or non-native species) in Luxembourg this autumn!

Luxemburg

Throwback to my one and only visit to Luxembourg in 2014, where the massive rocks scattered throughout the forests impressed me the most

This adds a second international conference presentation to my 2016, after the time slot I was already granted at the conference of the Ecological Society of America (ESA) in Florida in the beginning of August.

Deer in the wildlife refuge

A deer in a marsh in Philadelphia, on my way back from the ESA-conference in 2015.

But I feel that now, more than ever, these contacts with the scientific community are needed. I have the first major outcomes from our projects to communicate (and the more scientists I can share them with, the better), but I also hope to pave the way for new collaborations (and strengthen ongoing ones). With these two conferences, I hope I can find the people and enthusiasm for our plans for the future.

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